Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
Title: The wall’s impact in the occupied west bank: A bayesian approach to poverty dynamics using repeated cross-sections
Authors: Sadeq, Tareq 
Lubrano, Michel 
Keywords: Bayesian inference;Pseudo panels; ; walls; poverty dynamics;Bayesian field theory;Data augmentation;Israeli West Bank Barrier - Economic aspects;Poverty - Palestine - West Bank;Israeli West Bank Barrier - Social aspects
Issue Date: 2018
Publisher: Econometrics
Abstract: In 2002, the Israeli government decided to build a wall inside the occupied West Bank. The wall had a marked effect on the access to land and water resources as well as to the Israeli labour market. It is difficult to include the effect of the wall in an econometric model explaining poverty dynamics as the wall was built in the richer region of the West Bank. So a diff-in-diff strategy is needed. Using a Bayesian approach, we treat our two-period repeated cross-section data set as an incomplete data problem, explaining the income-to-needs ratio as a function of time invariant exogenous variables. This allows us to provide inference results on poverty dynamics. We then build a conditional regression model including a wall variable and state dependence to see how the wall modified the initial results on poverty dynamics. We find that the wall has increased the probability of poverty persistence by 58 percentage points and the probability of poverty entry by 18 percentage points.
DOI: 10.3390/econometrics6020029
Appears in Collections:Fulltext Publications

Show full item record

Page view(s)

checked on Jun 18, 2024


checked on Jun 18, 2024

Google ScholarTM



Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.